Fanelli’s Fave Five Prop Bets for TNF: Carolina Panthers vs. Houston Texansby Mike Fanelli September 23, 2021 0 comments
Tonight we have a matchup between the Carolina Panthers and the Houston Texans. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Christian McCaffrey Over 136.5 Scrimmage Yards (-115)
After missing 13 games last year because of injuries, McCaffrey looks like his all-pro self so far this season. In Week 1, McCaffrey had 98 rushing yards and 89 receiving yards on 30 touches. Then, CMC had 72 rushing yards and 65 receiving yards on 29 touches last week. Over the first two weeks of the season, McCaffrey has averaged over 161.5 scrimmage yards per game. Meanwhile, the Texans have struggled to slow down running backs this season, giving up an average of 157 scrimmage yards per game to the position. Furthermore, the Texans gave up almost 200 scrimmage yards per game to running backs last season. Since the start of the 2019 season, McCaffrey has finished with 135 or more scrimmage yards in 71.4 percent of his games.
Brandin Cooks Over 72.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
During the offseason, the Texans let Will Fuller sign with the Miami Dolphins. To replace him, they added several wide receivers, including Nico Collins and Danny Amendola. However, both will miss tonight’s game with injuries. This season, Cooks has caught 14 of his 21 targets for 210 receiving yards. Furthermore, Cooks has finished with 78 or more receiving yards in both games. He also had his lone touchdown of the season last week from Davis Mills. Last year, Cooks averaged 107.8 receiving yards per game without Fuller. With a limited supporting cast around him, expect Mills to target Cooks often tonight. Cooks should have no trouble finishing tonight with over 72.5 receiving yards.
D.J. Moore Over 5.5 Receptions (+110)
Despite a down 2020 season, Moore has been near unstoppable this year. Over the first two weeks, Moore has at least eight targets in both games, averaging 9.5 per contest. Furthermore, Moore has at least six receptions both weeks, averaging seven per game. Meanwhile, the Texans have struggled against wide receivers this season. In Week 1, the Texans allowed 16 completed passes to the Jacksonville wide receivers. They only gave up four receptions to the Cleveland wide receivers last week. However, Odell Beckham Jr. missed the game, and Jarvis Landry played only two snaps. Furthermore, the Texans gave up almost 14 receptions per game to the wide receiver position last season. Moore could hit the over on this prop bet before halftime.
Mark Ingram Over 8.5 Rushing Attempts (-145)
While the Texans have a running back by committee situation, Ingram is the lead back. In the first two games this season, Ingram has averaged 20 rushing attempts per game. Furthermore, Ingram has at least 14 rushing attempts in both games. Meanwhile, David Johnson and Phillip Lindsay each have only 14 total touches this season. Over the first two weeks, the Panthers have shut down opposing running backs, giving up only two yards per rushing attempt. However, the Texans will want to control the clock and limit the amount of responsibility on Mills. Ingram should finish tonight with at least 15 rushing attempts.
Sam Darnold Over 259.5 Passing Yards (-115)
In his first two games in Carolina, Darnold has played the best football of his NFL career. In Week 1, Darnold completed 24 of his 36 pass attempts for 279 yards. Then in Week 2, Darnold threw for 305 yards, completing 26 of his 38 pass attempts. Meanwhile, the Texans have given up an average of 272.5 passing yards per game this season, including over 330 in Week 1 to Trevor Lawrence. Furthermore, the Texans gave up over 270 passing yards per game last season. The Panthers’ offense has clicked so far this season. Darnold should have his second straight game with over 300 passing yards tonight.
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