Fanelli’s Fave Five Prop Bets for MNF: Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packersby Mike Fanelli September 20, 2021 0 comments
Tonight we have a matchup between the Detroit Lions and the Green Bay Packers. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Aaron Rodgers Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns (+115)
Last week, Rodgers had one of the worst games in his career against the New Orleans Saints. Rodgers had only 133 passing yards, two interceptions, and zero touchdowns. However, expect Rodgers to make a statement tonight on national television. Last year, Rodgers averaged three passing touchdowns per game, throwing over 3.5 in 75 percent of the games. Furthermore, Rodgers had nearly twice as many games with four passing touchdowns (seven) than games with under two or fewer touchdowns (four). Meanwhile, the Lions struggled to slow down the San Francisco 49ers’ passing attack last week. The Lions gave up over 300 passing yards and two touchdowns to Jimmy Garoppolo. Rodgers is more likely to toss five touchdowns tonight than two or fewer.
D’Andre Swift Over 26.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Swift should play tonight, but he is dealing with a groin injury, so keep an eye on the injury report. Assuming Swift plays, he should be the focal point of the Detroit offense. Last week, Swift had eight catches on 11 targets for 65 receiving yards. His 11 targets led all running backs and finished 12th overall in Week 1. Furthermore, Swift averaged 27.5 receiving yards per game, finishing with 26 or more in five of 13 games as a rookie. Meanwhile, the Packers struggled to stop pass-catching running backs last season, giving up over 47 receiving yards per game to the position. The Lions lack weapons at wide receiver, so expect Swift and Jamaal Williams to have over 50 receiving yards each for the second straight game.
Davante Adams to Score an Anytime Touchdown (-150)
While Adams didn’t reach the end zone last week, that won’t be the case tonight. Last season, Adams scored a touchdown in 11 of 14 games. Furthermore, Adams had nearly twice as many games with two or more touchdowns (five) than games without a touchdown (three). Moreover, in his career against the Lions, Adams has seven touchdowns, scoring at least one in 60 percent of his games, including three of his past four. Meanwhile, the Lions gave up a pair of touchdowns last week to the 49ers’ wide receivers. One of them went to Trent Sherfield, who had one career touchdown before last week. With Jeff Okudah out for the year with an Achilles injury, the Lions have no chance at keeping Adams out of the end zone.
T.J. Hockenson Over 4.5 Receptions (-160)
The only tight end with more receptions and more targets than Hockenson in Week 1 was Darren Waller. Furthermore, Hockenson’s eight receptions from last week were a career-high. With no proven option at wide receiver, Hockenson will again be the focal point of the passing game for the Lions. Last season, Hockenson averaged 4.2 receptions per game, finishing with over 4.5 in just under half of the games. Meanwhile, the Packers struggled to slow down the Saints’ tight ends in Week 1. They gave up six receptions on nine targets for 39 receiving yards and two touchdowns to Juwan Johnson and Adam Trautman. Hockenson is one of the best tight ends in the NFL and should finish this game with seven or more receptions.
Aaron Jones Over 16.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Against the Saints in Week 1, Jones had only five rushing attempts for nine yards. However, he did catch both of his targets for 13 receiving yards. More importantly, Jones played only 49 percent of the snaps as the Packers pulled their starters early in the fourth quarter. Last season, Jones averaged 25.4 receiving yards per game, finishing with over 16.5 in nine of his 14 games. Furthermore, Jones averaged 37 receiving yards per game in the two matchups against the Lions last year. Meanwhile, the Lions gave up the most receiving yards to running backs in 2020, giving up over 48 receiving yards per game to the position. Jones should hit the over on this prop bet before the end of the third quarter.
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