The Daily Dollar: Hot Dog! NBA, MLS, MLB Bets for 7/3, 8:30pmby Sam Schneider July 3, 2021 0 comments
Time once again for the The Daily Dollar, my gambling cohorts. It’s a beautiful weekend for sports betting. Hopefully, you had the over last night in an NHL whopper, as the Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montreal Canadiens 6-3 to inch a step closer to the cup. We followed that up with some great action in the MLB.
Let’s see which teams will be celebrating tonight, as we look to fill up our wallets on a trio of picks in three different sports. If you behave, I may just toss you a Fourth of July winner as a bonus at the end. Buckle up buttercups, time to make some scratch.
You can find recent picks right here. Overall record 15-7.
NBA: Milwaukee Bucks at Atlanta Hawks o218 (-110), 8:30 p.m. EDT, TNT
Giannis Antetokounmpo is listed as doubtful and there’s no real reason to think that he’ll suit up for the visitors in this game. One the other hand, the Hawks are up against it, trailing 3-2 in the series and in need of a victory to stave off elimination. With that said, I expect Trae Young (questionable) to give it a go. Should he play, I’ll also note that the Hawks -2 points becomes a valid bet, in addition to the over.
Young is going to score, even if he plays in a limited fashion, and Brook Lopez ain’t walking through that door. Well, he is, but not with the same swagger as in their Game 5 victory. At the end of the day, however, Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton will be pushing the tempo and even if it’s a losing effort, Milwaukee is going to put points on the board. 218 is too low.
Book it: Bucks/Hawks over 218 total points scored (-110)
MLS: Houston Dynamo FC (-121) vs. FC Cincinnati, 8:30 p.m. EDT, ESPN+
There is not much to know here. FC Cincy has won two in a row, making their position in the standings look a lot better than what it should be. Make no mistake, this is not a good team. Those two wins came over Chicago and Toronto, respectively, and frankly did not inspire a whole lot of confidence. Now they travel to Houston, who sits sixth in the West.
This is no contest. The footballers from the Queen City have scored nine goals on the season and have allowed 17 (even after two shutouts). That’s a minus-eight differential for those of you scoring at home. The Dynamo is minus-one for the campaign and have 14 points. They are licking their chops for an easy win to move up in the standings, and they’ve got one, here.
Book it: Houston Dynamo FC money line (-121)
MLB: St. Louis Cardinals at Colorado Rockies u12 (+100), 9:10 p.m. EDT
The Rockies are bad for the season. The Cards are bad of late and are sending Wade LeBlanc (0-1, 5.60 ERA) to the hill. With apologies to LaTroy Hawkins, LeBlanc is the very definition of “journeyman” and in six starts at Coors Field has an ERA approaching 9.00 in 26 innings. He’ll be opposed by Kyle Freeland (1-2, 6.54 ERA). So, why not take the over, right? Wrong.
For starters (pardon the pun), Freeland has pitched far better in his last two victories over the Seattle Mariners and Pittsburgh Pirates. The latter was five scoreless at Coors. While conventional thinking leads to the conclusion that these are two pretty bad offensive team, St. Louis has not done much in the last three weeks to suggest they are much better. The 6’4” southpaw can be victimized by the dink-and-dunk, but right now the Cardinals are just pressing too hard.
For every game of late the Redbirds have put up a respectable score, they’ve followed up with managing very few runs with several shutouts mixed in. These are now your father’s Rockies, either. They’re better at home to the tune of 12 games over .500, but not ripping the cover off the ball. Finally, the coupe de grace: When was the last time you saw a 12-run run total in the majors? The rarity alone along with these two streaky offenses demands and under bet on good odds.
Book it: Cardinals/Rockies under 12 total runs scored (+100)
Fourth of July Bonus: Joey Chestnut is Gonna Wolf Down Some Dogs Tomorrow
There is virtually no reason to bet on Chestnut to win. At last check, the odds were -3000 with the field at +1200. Anything other than a complete dusting of the competition would be outlandish. With that in mind, there is an intriguing bet in here, somewhere.
The total for wieners consumed sits at 73.5 hot dogs and buns. Last year, “Jaws” beat his own record of 74 by scarfing down 75 meat tubes. At last check, the odds were +145 for “the winner” (including if he loses) to go over the 73.5. Keep in mind when he set the record last year, he was inside in the air conditioning thanks to COVID-19 restrictions. Those are still pretty good odds.
The under seems like the safe bet here, but it’s never good to bet against the champ. He’s heard the noise about how he cannot duplicate the feat, and it’s expect to be a nice 75 degrees outside at Coney Island. Here’s the money: 75 or more dogs (Chestnut only) is going off around +150. Even better, if you think he gets close but no cigar, you can get +245 on 73 or 74. That’s where my money is going based on odds, although the “75 or more” sure is tempting.
Book it: Joey Chestnut consumes 73 or 74 hot dogs (+245)
Best of luck to everyone on this fine holiday weekend. Have a beverage, have some food, be safe with the fireworks. It’s a great weekend for moneymaking! Go get that cash.
Follow Sam Schneider on Twitter @BuyAndSellYou
Main Image designed by Jeremy Guerin @jeremycguerin