NFL DFS: GPP Plays, Game Stacks, and Dart Throws for Week 16by Joe Ricotta December 27, 2020 0 comments
We’ll start by saying that any picks used or mentioned for Cash Games can be played in tournaments, including the “Other Options.” That’s an important thing to know and can sometimes get confusing when the two are discussed separately. For that reason, I’ve tried to avoid mentioning my Cash Game plays for this article.
There is merit to using or fading individual players in tournaments, whether it be ownership expectations, bust potential, etc. Just about all of the cash game plays are viable for tournaments. If you’d like to see Cash Game Plays, you can check that out here. With that said, let’s get to some other picks for tournaments. Getting a mixture of popular and lower-owned players is the best way to go. Let’s go for the big bucks. Here are the favorite GPP Plays, Game Stacks, and Dart Throws for Week 16.
Justin Herbert ($7,400 DK, $8,200 FD)
Doesn’t it feel like Herbert is about string together some top-notch fantasy performances before the season ends? Last week, Herbert racked up his second-highest DK scoring game of the season with 31 points, throwing for 314 yards, two touchdowns, and rushing for another. It also sounds like Herbert will be without his top-two pass-catching options (outside of Austin Ekeler), with Keenan Allen and Hunter Henry both expected to be out. All that means to me is, his stacking options are much cheaper than usual. Stack him up with Tyron Johnson, Mike Williams, Jalen Guyton, and Donald Parham. Herbert remains near the top in pass attempts per game, and he will be low-owned.
Lamar Jackson ($8,000 DK, $8,800 FD)
We’ve had an embarrassment of riches when it comes to the rushing upside at the quarterback position this year. Because of Jalen Hurts being much cheaper than Jackson, many will flock to him and ignore Jackson. Don’t get it twisted. As good of a play as Hurts is, Jackson is just as capable of being a slate-breaker. Lamar has rushed for four touchdowns in the last three games and has posted back-to-back 30-plus point fantasy scores.
Antonio Gibson ($6,600 DK and FD)
Labeled with the questionable tag throughout the week, Gibson is expected to play. Many sharp DFS players were hyping up J.D. McKissic this week. Now that Gibson looks like he’s playing, I think many players will avoid the situation entirely. Gibson has as much upside as anyone, and he could go overlooked in a game between two mediocre teams. Facing a Carolina Panthers team that remains near the bottom in yards per carry allowed (4.7), I like Gibson a lot in tournaments.
Giovani Bernard ($4,800 DK, $6,000 FD)
Much of the Cincy ownership will be going Tee Higgins‘ direction because Tyler Boyd is out, and he aligns as a massive discount with a highly projected target total. A good way to get leverage from that is playing Bernard. Gio had a good outing against Pittsburgh on Monday night, carrying the ball a season-high 25 times for 83 yards and a touchdown. He also caught a 14-yard touchdown pass and has been known to get involved in the receiving game quite a bit. Houston ranks 29th in rush DVOA and 30th in overall DVOA. The matchup is just as good for Bernard as it is for someone like Higgins, but Bernard could be less than 10 percent owned.
Allen Robinson ($7,700 DK, $7,500 FD)
Listed as questionable because of a hamstring injury, A-Rob is expected to give it a go against his former team. Who doesn’t love a good narrative? The Chicago Bears need to stay hot with playoff hopes still alive, and well, they control their own destiny. They’ll lean on their big dogs, David Montgomery and A-Rob. Monty is much more chalky. Jacksonville doesn’t have the cornerbacks to hang with his elite route-running skills.
D.J. Moore ($5,800 DK, $7,200 FD)
Moore is my favorite Antonio Gibson skinny stack runback option. He’s projected to get less than 10 percent ownership, and he’s averaging over 19 DK points per game in his last four. The Washington Football Team defense is vulnerable on the outside, and Kendall Fuller could be lined up with Moore most of the game. Fuller has allowed six touchdowns in coverage this season. Advantage Moore. If Teddy Bridgewater decides to air it out, Moore could be in store for a big game.
Noah Fant ($4,800 DK, $6,200 FD)
This game between the Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers has sneaky shootout potential. Fant erupted last week, catching eight of 11 targets for 68 yards and a touchdown. He finds himself in a dead zone at the tight end position, cheaper than Travis Kelce and Mark Andrews, but more expensive than the punt options in the $2,500-$3,500 range. Give me Fant all day in stacks with Drew Lock or as runback options that correlate with Herbert stacks.
Jordan Akins ($3,300 DK, $5,100 FD)
Akins is not a fan-favorited option because he’s struggled with some untimely drops, especially with some layup touchdown passes. However, he’s still been in the position to get those touchdowns. The Bengals allow the sixth-most DK points to the tight end position. You can add him to Deshaun Watson stacks or play him by himself at low ownership.
KC vs. ATL
LAC vs. DEN
HOU vs. CIN
WAS vs. CAR
WR – Marvin Hall ($3,000 DK, $4,900 FD)
There are literally zero other wideouts to throw the ball to. The New York Jets ranks 29th in pass DVOA, and he’s the bare minimum price on DraftKings. Enough said.
WR – DeSean Jackson ($3,000 DK, $4,500 FD)
The Eagles have so many options to throw the ball to, so we can’t be overly confident in this, especially when DJax could always leave the game with an injury. However, he’s always a big-play downfield threat. All he needs at this price tag is one good long ball from Jalen Hurts to smash.
Good luck, and let’s take down one of these tournaments!