Fanelli’s Fave Five Prop Bets for SNF: Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefsby Mike Fanelli December 6, 2020 0 comments
Tonight we have a matchup between AFC West division rivals, as the 4-7 Denver Broncos head to Kansas City to take on the 10-1 Chiefs. Both teams need this win in their fight for the playoffs. A loss for the Broncos would all but officially eliminate them from the playoffs. Meanwhile, the Chiefs can’t afford an upset defeat if they want to keep pace with the Pittsburgh Steelers to stay in the hunt for the first-round bye.
The team’s fan base and fantasy football players will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention. For gamblers, their only rooting interest is whatever will lead to money in their pocket. However, which bets should they place? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Tyreek Hill Over 73.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Last week Hill exploded for 269 receiving yards on 13 receptions. He had over 200 receiving yards in the first quarter as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers had no answer to slow him down. It marked the fourth game in a row that Hill had 98 or more receiving yards. Furthermore, Hill is averaging 92.8 receiving yards per game, totaling 77 or more in 64 percent of his games this season. In the Week 7 matchup against Denver, Hill had 55 receiving yards, but he had 10 targets, and the Chiefs were able to run the ball down the Broncos’ throat. Expect Tyreek to have another 100-yard outing tonight.
Drew Lock Under 1.5 Interceptions (-190)
If you can find this prop somewhere else other than DraftKings, I like Lock over 0.5 interceptions but under 1.5 interceptions. In simple terms, I think he throws one interception in tonight. Since Lock has returned from injury, he has thrown at least one interception in every game, averaging just under two per game. Meanwhile, the Chiefs have 12 interceptions, recording at least one in 73 percent of their games this season. The Chiefs picked off Lock twice in their matchup earlier this season, and there is a good chance Lock throws at least one this time.
Patrick Mahomes Under 2.5 Passing Touchdowns (-110)
I’ll be the first to admit I don’t love this prop as Mahomes can go off at a moment’s notice. However, Mahomes has thrown two or fewer passing touchdowns in over half his games this season, including a season-low one passing touchdown in the Chiefs’ Week 7 matchup with the Broncos. Meanwhile, the Broncos have held quarterbacks to an average of 1.4 passing touchdowns per game. Furthermore, they have held quarterbacks under three passing touchdowns in all but three games this season.
KJ Hamler Over 3.5 Receptions (+100)
Before last week’s quarterback nightmare situation, Hamler had three straight games with at least four receptions and six targets. During that span, Hamler averaged just under five receptions on roughly nine targets per game. Meanwhile, the Chiefs have given up an average of 15 receptions per game to wide receivers over their last four games. Hamler has stepped up as the Broncos’ top weapon in the passing game and should have no problem pulling in four or more receptions for the fourth straight game with Lock under center.
Tyreek Hill to Score an Anytime Touchdown (-155)
For this bet to cash, Hill has to score a receiving or rushing touchdown. Thanks to his big-play ability, the Chiefs used Hill in several ways. He has 14 total touchdowns this season, scoring at least one in all but one game this season. Furthermore, over his last five games, Hill has been unstoppable, scoring nine total touchdowns. Meanwhile, the Broncos are giving an average of more than one receiving touchdown per game to wide receivers. Hill scored a touchdown in the Week 7 matchup, and he should have no problem scoring at least once tonight, if not twice.
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