Fanelli’s Fave Five Prop Bets for TNF: Washington Football Team vs. Dallas Cowboysby Mike Fanelli November 25, 2020 1 comment
When Thanksgiving rolls around, we all know that means the Dallas Cowboys will be playing, and this year they take on the Washington Football Team. The Cowboys are 30-20-1 all-time on Thanksgiving, including 8-1 against Washington. These two teams played on Thanksgiving two years ago, with the Cowboys winning 31-23. The winner of this game will take over as the NFC East division leader, so this game is critical for both team’s playoff hopes.
Usually, these Fave Five articles are all centered around the best prop bets from the primetime game. However, it’s Thanksgiving, and I’m going to give a little extra gambling advice today. I like the Cowboys -3 and over 46 points. Two of Washington’s three wins this season have come from within the division and last week over Cincinnati as Joe Burrow suffered a season-ending knee injury. The Cowboys are starting to get healthy and should be the favorites to win the division. With that out of the way, here are my five favorite prop bets for tomorrow’s game.
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Ezekiel Elliott Over 16.5 Rushing Attempts (-110)
Even though the Cowboys have struggled to win games this season, Zeke has been a focal point of the offense. He has at least 12 rushing attempts in every game, averaging 17.1 per game. However, over the last three weeks, the Cowboys have turned their attention to the running game. During that span, Zeke has at least 18 rushing attempts in each game. Meanwhile, Washington has been tough on running backs at times this season. However, opposing teams are averaging 22.8 rushing attempts per game against them. Last week the Cowboys moved All-Pro guard Zack Martin out to right tackle, and Zeke had his best game of the season. Zeke could easily hit the over on this prop bet before the end of the third quarter.
Terry McLaurin Over 67.5 Receiving Yards (-143)
McLaurin has been unstoppable this season. He has at least 74 receiving yards in eight of his last nine games, with the one exception being his Week 5 matchup with Jalen Ramsey. McLaurin has four straight games with 84 or more receiving yards, including the Week 7 matchup against the Cowboys. Furthermore, McLaurin is the focal point of the passing attack, averaging 9.3 targets per game, seeing at least seven in every game. Meanwhile, the Cowboys are giving up an average of 179.4 receiving yards per game to wide receivers and have given up 170 or more receiving yards in 70 percent of their games this season. The Cowboys have no one to slow McLaurin down, and he could go over on this prop bet by halftime.
Dalton Schultz Over 3.5 Receptions (-112)
After Blake Jarwin suffered a season-ending knee injury, Schultz stepped up for the Cowboys. Over the next three games with Dak Prescott under center, Schultz averaged 5.7 receptions per game. Then over the following three games, Schultz would total only seven receptions as Dak got hurt. However, Schultz has bounced back over the last three weeks with at least four receptions in every game, totaling 14 during that span. Furthermore, Schultz has four or more receptions in seven of his nine games as the starter this season. Meanwhile, Washington has struggled to defend tight ends, giving up an average of 4.7 receptions per game to the position. Schultz has Andy Dalton‘s trust and should have his fourth straight game with four or more receptions tomorrow.
Antonio Gibson Over 12.5 Rushing Attempts (-139)
Entering the season, the team had high hopes for Gibson, and he hasn’t disappointed. Gibson is averaging 12 rushing attempts per game and 4.5 yards per attempt this season. However, over the last seven games, Gibson is averaging 12.6 rushing attempts per game. More importantly, he has 13 or more rushing attempts in three of his past four games. Meanwhile, opposing teams are averaging 26.6 rushing attempts per game against the Cowboys this season, including at least 20 rushing attempts in all but one game. Gibson had a career game in their Week 7 matchup with 20 rushing attempts for 128 yards. Washington knows the Cowboys can’t stop Gibson, so expect him to have his second game this season with 20 rushing attempts.
Amari Cooper Over 51.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Despite catching passes from four different quarterbacks this season, Cooper has been consistent all year long. He is averaging 73.6 receiving yards per game and has at least 52 receiving yards in all but two games this season. Meanwhile, Washington has struggled to slow down wide receivers over the last two weeks, giving up 165 receiving yards or more in each game. When these two teams played in Week 7, Cooper was the only Cowboy wide receiver who could get going, catching all seven of his targets for 80 yards. Expect Cooper to have a big performance on national television and go over 100 receiving yards for the third time this season.
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