NFL DFS: Cash Game Plays for Week 10by Joe Ricotta November 15, 2020 0 comments
The cash game article’s goal is to outline some safe plays while also providing options that will help you create the most optimal builds. The whole point is for us to make some money.
Sometimes we won’t, but putting ourselves in the best position to do so is the most important part. That should go without saying but can sometimes get overshadowed by the results on a week to week basis. Cash Games are basically H2Hs, 50/50s, and Double-Ups. The amount of winnings might be limited, but have a higher probability of hitting.
Everyone wants to know how many points a guy scored and not necessarily the route that took them there. DFS is not only a science but a math equation. Let’s dive in, put the pieces together, and try to solve it. Here are the NFL DFS Cash Game Plays for Week 10.
As always, there will be a next to a few of my favorite options. All of the guys mentioned are viable for cash games, but the ones with that lock emoji will be fixtures in many of my own lineups.
Kyler Murray ($8,000 DK, $8,800 FD)
Murray is the most consistent fantasy producer this season at the quarterback position. If you need proof, take a look at his DraftKings game log. The man has scored at least 24 DK points in every game and is averaging 31.4 per week. He’s also fresh off two impressive 41-burgers. Along with being a star quarterback, he’s also Arizona’s number one running back, averaging 67.9 yards per game. He is tied with Derrick Henry for the third-most rushing touchdowns in the NFL.
Josh Allen ($7,500 DK, $8,700 FD)
Allen profiles very similarly to Murray. For his career, he averages 37.4 rushing yards per game and has five rushing scores this season. The pace of play for both of these teams is incredible and should lead to many back and forth and more opportunities. The Arizona Cardinals rank second in situation neutral seconds per play (26.60), and the Buffalo Bills rank eighth (29.41). If you want to save a little salary and play Allen instead of Murray, that’s perfectly fine.
Aaron Jones ($7,100 DK, $8,800 FD)
Jones is back in the lineup and set to take on one of the worst run defenses in the league in a game where the weather is less than ideal for passing, and his team comes in as 14-point favorites at home. Statistically, the Jacksonville Jaguars are sixth-worst in terms of DK points allowed per game to the running back position (28.7). Jones is the top spend up option.
Mike Davis ($4,000 DK, $5,400 FD)
Dalvin Cook was the easiest lock call last week. This week, that title belongs to Mr. Davis. DFS sites released their pricing before knowing the status of Christian McCaffrey and assumed he was fully back after an explosive return to the lineup in Week 9 against the Kansas City Chiefs. However, McCaffrey sustained a shoulder injury and has been ruled out for this week’s game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Davis will once again be the main man. The matchup isn’t terrific, but at this price, it’s a no-brainer considering the amount of usage he was garnering before CMC’s return. He only needs about four catches for 30 yards and 50 rushing yards to reach value.
Duke Johnson ($5,000 DK, $5,800 FD)
Duke took over the workhorse role last week after David Johnson exited with a concussion. He was placed on injured reserve Saturday, so this will once again be Duke’s show. Duke’s entire career has been made as a situational receiving back, and now he should also get 15-20 carries. The weather sets up as brutal in Cleveland, with winds projected upwards of 25 MPH. Get ready for a steady dose of dump-offs and carries for Johnson.
Other Options: Alvin Kamara, Miles Sanders
Stefon Diggs ($7,500 DK, $7,900 FD)
Unsure of why it took me so long to consider Diggs as a Cash Game option weekly, I’m finally on board this week. If you aren’t getting exposure to this game between the Arizona Cardinals and the Buffalo Bills in Cash Games, you are doing it wrong. The game opened up with a 49.5 points total, was quickly bet up to 54.5, and now sits at 56.5. Diggs leads the entire league in targets with 91 and has racked up double-digit DK points in every game this season. Patrick Peterson doesn’t scare me. Diggs is a lock, especially in lineups featuring Kyler Murray. That way, you get exposure to both teams.
Keenan Allen ($7,100 DK, $7,800 FD)
Allen has been a go-to guy for me all year. Justin Herbert loves him, consistently targeting him over 12 times per game in every game Allen has started and finished. Xavien Howard is a coverage concern, but he only covers the slot 40 percent of the time. Allen lines up in the slot 62 percent and moves all over. He’s as safe as they come and remains underpriced.
Cooper Kupp ($6,900 DK, $7,700 FD)
Jared Goff peppered Kupp only two weeks ago, prior to the team’s bye week with 20 targets. He hauled in 11 passes for 110 yards against the Miami Dolphins. Kupp has only two touchdowns on the year, but we’ve seen Goff look his way a lot in the red zone in the past. I think there’s some positive regression in that area coming his way. The Seattle Seahawks are giving up huge chunks of yards to wide receivers, and far and way lead the league in DK and FD points allowed to the position. Robert Woods is in play, but if I have to choose and salary isn’t an issue, Kupp is my guy.
Jakeem Grant ($3,000 DK, $4,600 FD)
Preston Williams is out for Miami, and we saw what that means for the Dolphins’ offense. Grant was on the field for 48 percent of the team’s offensive snaps last week, and that number should only increase with a full game as a starter. He was targeted five times. Tua obviously is starting to build a little bit of a rapport with him, and he doesn’t need to do much at this price. I’m perfectly fine with using him. Three catches for 30 yards is about all you should need out of him on DraftKings.
Other Options: Robert Woods, DeAndre Hopkins, Terry McLaurin, Tyler Lockett, Brandon Aiyuk, Jerry Jeudy
Darren Waller ($5,900 DK, $7,000 FD)
If you are spending up at the tight end spot, how could you not look Waller’s direction? Derek Carr certainly has been. He’s the clear cut spend up option on a slate without Travis Kelce, George Kittle, and Mark Andrews. Waller is second among all tight ends in targets with 72, and his aDOT remains extremely low at only 5.5, which means most of the targets he’s getting are safe short passes. He’s also second in red-zone targets and receptions among all pass-catchers, so there is plenty of touchdown upside.
Austin Hooper ($3,900 DK, $5,100 FD)
Hooper’s return to the Cleveland Browns’ lineup means something to Baker Mayfield, and it should mean something to us. With Odell Beckham Jr. out, his options to throw to are limited. Hooper was getting consistent looks before his appendectomy and OBJ’s injury. From Weeks 4-6, Hooper was targeted at least six times in each game. With OBJ out, I expect his volume to only rise. Add in some strong winds for this game, and Baker Mayfield should look his way often as a chain mover.
Other Options: Dallas Goedert, Evan Engram, Noah Fant
Los Angeles Rams ($2,200 DK, $3,700 FD)
The Seattle Seahawks aren’t normally an offense we want to attack with its opposing defense. However, the Rams are a solid defensive unit, and they are mispriced simply because of their difficult matchup with Russell Wilson’s team. Surely, they could give up some points in this contest, but they could also force the issue by getting pressure on Wilson. If the offense puts up points the way we expect them to on the other side of the ball, Wilson will be in many passing downs, which lead to turnovers as we’ve seen two of the last three weeks. Over the last three games, Wilson has thrown five interceptions. I don’t expect him to continue throwing a ton of pick but going up against a good defense like the Rams, maybe that trend continues one more week. Chris Carson also remains out, so the Seahawks are fairly one dimensional at the moment.
Other Options: New Orleans Saints, Green Bay Packers, New York Giants, Pittsburgh Steelers
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